Election Forecaster Makes Several Race Changes in Favor of Republicans 

Rebecca Downs / Townhall Tipsheet

 

The November election continues to look hopeful for Republicans, especially after these forecast changes from Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. The map shows 251 electoral votes for Republicans, 241 for Democrats, and 46 toss up votes.

 

The Center for Politics, however, notes that they "don’t really see a clear favorite in a presidential race with many confounding factors."

 

It's not just former and potentially future President Donald Trump who benefits from such changes. While six of the seven race changes apply to the presidential race, there's also a race change in the U.S. Senate race for Pennsylvania. Vulnerable Democratic incumbent Sen. Bob Casey, Jr. is facing Republican Dave McCormick, with Casey only having a slight edge now, in a "Leans Democratic" Race. 

Georgia has been moved from a "Toss-Up" to a "Leans Republican" state, which makes sense, given that Trump is ahead of President Joe Biden by +4.8 there, per RealClearPolling. Pennsylvania for the presidential race is now a "Toss-Up," with Trump leading Biden there by +2.3. This is particularly embarrassing for Biden, given it's his home state. Maine awards its electoral votes by congressional districts, and the 2nd Congressional District there looks to be "Likely Republican." There's also three states that have moved into the "Safe Republican" category for Trump, the best rating there can be for him. That being said, it seems that the three states--Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio--should have already been in that category. Read more here.