Sunday, May 17, 2015

Marco Rubio, The Foreign Policy Go-To Presidential Candidate

Marco Rubio: Hillary Clinton Is “A Leader From Yesterday”The Democrat Party, and like-minded liberal organizations like American Bridge, as well as their media wing, the national press corps, are out doing what they do best, and that is attacking top Republicans who stand to do them damage at the ballot box.

This week’s attack-a-Republican campaign is aimed squarely at Republican presidential candidate, Senator Marco Rubio.

A recent Forbes article questions Rubio hawkish stance on foreign policy, stating that the ” Rubio Doctrine” seems to be a bit out-of-touch with the views of most Americans.”

The article posts these little nifty images and ratings from opinions polls taken of Americans over the past several months. While these ratings maybe accurate, the story does not offer an cross-tab information, nor those it offer the samplings of the poll.

Before you read the Forbes article’s poll results, let’s see what the most recent Real Clear Politics average polls say about  President Obama’s job approval rating when it comes to foreign policy.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 3/1 – 5/3 39.4 51.1 -11.7
CBS News/NY Times 4/30 – 5/3 1027 A 41 45 -4
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 4/26 – 4/30 1000 A 40 53 -13
The Economist/YouGov 4/25 – 4/27 1000 A 40 46 -6
Quinnipiac 4/16 – 4/21 1353 RV 39 53 -14
Bloomberg 4/6 – 4/8 1008 A 42 50 -8
FOX News 3/29 – 3/31 1025 RV 36 55 -19
McClatchy/Marist 3/1 – 3/4 521 RV 38 56 -18

Big ouch!

Now here are the Forbes  images:

On every single issue, Mr. Rubio’s stance is the more unpopular option: obviously most Americans are still very weary of foreign intervention and increased military involvement abroad. This raises an interesting paradox, however: given that most American’s agree with President Obama’s specific foreign policy actions—and thus disagree with Mr. Rubio’s doctrine why is the President’s net approval for foreign policy so low? The simplest explanation would probably be that most American’s likely agree with President Obama’sstrategy but are not happy with the execution. A more interesting justification is provided by Tufts Professor Daniel Drezner in a blog post:
When Americans are asked about specific foreign policies, they tend to support the administration, because they’re assessing concrete policy outputs.  When asked a more general question about foreign policy…they’re likely assessing the policy outcomes. And while Americans are reluctant to intervene overseas, they’re also not keen on Iraq falling apart, ISIS acquiring a statelet, Russia annexing parts of Ukraine, or China bullying its neighbors in the South China Sea, etc.  Americans want the free pony — they want the U.S. to not expend blood and treasure overseas, but they also want the liberal order not to fray.   
Either way, Mr. Rubio would be well-served to criticize—and distance himself from—the results of President Obama’s foreign policy, by specifically emphasizing outcomes over methods. Given the crucial nature foreign policy may play in the election, it will be interesting to see how effectively Mr. Rubio and other Republican contenders can navigate this topic.-Forbes
Foreign policy is a winning issue for Rubio and others.  There is no question that President Obama’s weak and ineffectual foreign policy has made Americans less safe around the world by emboldening radical Islamic terrorists and those not-so-friendly governments  like Russia and China, as well as projecting even more weakness by negotiating  with a named state sponsor of terrorism,  Iran.

With the rise of ISIS, and other world threats, foreign policy is front and center, and will be the focal point issue that dictates the 2016 general election.

Of all the announced, and soon-to-be announced 2016’Republican presidential candidates, Rubio, who has the  most foreign policy experience, and can speak on the issue at nauseam, has positioned himself to  take the reigns as the go-to person on foreign policy.

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