Op-ed:
Two Scenarios...as the Clock Ticks Down
By: Diane Sori / The Patriot Factor / Right Side Patriots on American Political Radio
As we tether on the brink of war with rogue nation North Korea, I offer two scenarios as to how this will go. Scenario one lays out the case for war, scenario two (included in this article) shows why war might not be the real objective. I leave it to you to decide which is more likely, but only time will tell how this all plays out.
Scenario number one:
“North
Korea 'will be met with fire and fury like the world has never seen'
if more threats emerge.”
- President
Donald Trump, August 8, 2017
Words
said that are anything but reckless saber rattling nor are they
words of belligerence as many in Congress...both Democrats and RINO
Republicans...try to make them out to be...for these are words said
by our president rightfully preparing us for possible war.
North
Korea...the Democratic People's Republic of Korea... aka the 'Hermit
Kingdom...is a thorn in both America's and the world's side. A
country whose people are suffering yet a country remaining at the
mercy of a madman who now has the capability to launch an ICBM with a
small nuclear tipped warhead riding atop it. North Korea...now for
the time being relegating the always ongoing islamist threat to
second place as the very mad man-child in charge...Kim Jong-un...is
willing to sell out the lives of his own people to the highest
bidder. In fact, he already has, for with North Korea now claiming to have the miniaturization process...whether
developed on their own or gotten from their ally Iran...means that
Iran..."Death to America" Iran...either already has
said process or soon will have it courtesy of North Korea.
Islamists to the
east of us...a madman to the west of us...surely aligned together and
closing in for the kill.
Closing in and aided
by not only an international community whose answer to war is singing
kumbaya songs of peace, but also by some in our own Congress...'deep
state' operatives all...who relish in calling out our president for
bravely drawing 'red lines' in the sand...'red lines' daring the
man-child to cross. And Congress' solution...slapping even more
useless sanctions on a country we have sanctioned since 1953...a
country sanctioned to the hilt and yet a country who has steadily
grown militarily stronger...aided by the misguided policies of appeasement by
our last three presidents.
So as we sit on the
brink of war...'real' war with nukes part of the equation...I find
it hard to believe that some once 'warriors' have now become
'lambs'...'lambs' easily led to the slaughter while true warriors
know and understand that in war blood must be shed...maybe even
demanding to be shed...in order for true peace to take hold. And that
war we now face before there can be peace has the enemy in possession
of up to 60 nuclear weapons...more than three times the number our
previous president led us all to believe.
Now "carefully
examining" plans to strike the U.S. territory of Guam in a
preemptive strike of his own because our current president dared to
upset the sensibilities of said man-child in charge, what is
forgotten in the rhetoric of words said is that last month the
man-child successfully test fired his country's second Hwasong 14
ICBM, with both political analysts and military leaders saying that
this particular rocket could potentially strike the very heart of our
own country.
And yet our
president's critics abound...a misinformed and uniformed bunch of
'doom and gloomers' who fear what the media claims is our president's
"unpredictability”...politically
fueled critics who
relish in adding to both the ever-growing concern and fear
over wars threat as well as to the escalating perception that our
Commander-in-Chief may seriously be considering a preemptive strike
on the man-child's homeland...a preemptive strike they claim would
have catastrophic consequences.
But
what these critics and 'doom and gloom' for the most part liberal
propagandists do not get is that the only way to prevent a full-blown
war is to preemptively strike and take out the very one threatening
war not the one rightfully responding to those threats...and in this
case that one is the mad man-child Kim Jong-un. And when the strikes
begin...when the bombs start to fall...what will be seen is a country
amass in poor starving people probably welcoming said strikes knowing
they soon will not only be free but be fed. And the rumored
million-man army will high-tail it and run as fast and as far as they
can, just as many in Iraq's army did not too many years ago.
And if today's
Chamberlain-type of despot placators still do not understand that it
truly is either them or us...and them now is a 'twofer' as war with
North Korea will also be war with Iran...then we truly have lost the
war before it even begins.
So how would
preemptive strikes work against North Korea...the country George W.
Bush called the “axis of evil” and Condoleeza Rice called an “outpost of tyranny”...and
for good reason for when six million of a country's people are
starving while their mad man-child dictator could care less...you
just know that brutality given must become brutality paid back.
But
the brutality that some fear in preemptive strikes is seen as being
uncalled for at this time...but know that the longer we wait to
remove the threat the more time the threat has to fester and grow.
And sadly, into this mix now comes the kumbaya sorts' supposedly' on our side who simply do
not understand that sometimes war is not only a must but is actually
morally just.
And
the question being bandied about on social media, as well as the
mainstream media over the past few days is simple…should a
preemptive strike be launched against North Korea and when exactly
should we do said launch?
And the matter
of when is on a timetable set by the man-child who last Wednesday saw
North Korea's military calling our president's threat of a preemptive
strike a "load of nonsense" adding
that only "absolute force can work on the president.”
But the man-child and his military
have it wrong for the power of force will be by us even if it now has
to be called 'retaliation'...retaliation to also include righting
the wrongs done by the last three presidents who allowed this all to
happen.
And with the
man-child and his generals...most specifically Gen. Kim Rak
Gyom...now setting a date of mid-August either for strikes of four
intermediate-range ballistic missiles to come within 20 or so miles
of Guam or to be on Andersen Air Force Base itself..."to send
a serious warning signal to the U.S."...there always is the
possibility that this is but a diversionary war of words to keep us
focused on one place while North Korea actually sends a little 'gift'
to America's mainland or even to the state of Hawaii...a mere 20
minutes away for an ICBM launched from North Korea and a state now
rapidly developing what Hawaiian state officials call an
"informational campaign” aimed at instructing Hawaii's
residents and visitors what to do if Hawaii is indeed the target of a
said missile attack.
So decisions and
plans must be made post-haste to do what needs to be done whether
Guam itself is the target or not...whether it would be a preemptive
strike or a retaliatory response... and it needs to be done whether
the current fuse is temporarily diffused and no matter that the
Chinese government still calls for
restraint in the "provocations” between the U.S. and
North Korea. But the questions that need to be answered are what is
involved in actually going to war with North Korea and how would said
war actually be carried out.
While
taking out North Korea's military airfields and missile launch sites
is the first must and could be accomplished in a relatively short
period of time by focused carpet-bombing targeted areas, not to be
forgotten is that the evacuating of tens of thousands of U.S.
civilians from South Korea has to immediately take place for the
man-child would most likely retaliate against South Korea first,
possibly even with the chemical weapons we know they
possess...possess to a tune of between 2,500 and 5,000 tons of said
weapons, including VX nerve agent. But
an evacuation of that scope could take weeks during which time we
would need to add to our current 30,000 troop presence in South Korea
in what's called "a reinforcement of shooters,”
which would include not only
U.S. man-power but Navy warships and submarines armed with cruise
missiles, plus Air Force bombers that could operate out of bases in
Japan or whatever bases are left on Guam.
And while the South
Korean military...650,000 active troops plus three million in
reserve... would do most of the initial fighting the 30,000 U.S.
troops currently in South Korea including the U.S. 8th Army 2nd
Infantry Division...who brings with it a combat aviation brigade, a
field artillery brigade, an armored brigade combat team, and a
chemical weapons battalion...would aid in the ground fighting. And
while U.S. air power using sophisticated air defense and
anti-artillery systems hits key North Korean military positions, the
Army’s 82nd Airborne Division would deploy its brigade combat team
of paratroopers...part of America’s Global Response Force...to aid
on the ground. And let's not forget the Marines...close by in Japan.
Sounds
like an easy win...right...wrong...as North Korea's million-man army
is well trained in the art of ground fighting and Seoul would be
target number one as they surround it while the rest of the South
comes under their attack. And that raises the question of would we be
able to "subdue”
the
man-child's military quickly enough to reduce civilian casualties in
South Korea especially in Seoul. And I am not so sure that's
possible as Seoul is only about 35 miles south of the demilitarized
zone...which would afford North Korean rockets and artillery the
chance to cause significant if not major damage to the areas
25 million people.
And
unknown to most is that the demilitarized zone is riddled with
underground military tunnels leading from the North to the South with
each being able to funnel 20,000 North Korean troops per hour into
the South.
And
then there is the fact that even with a full-scale what is called
'conventional war'...minus the horror of nukes being thrown into the
mix...said war would still devastate the entirety of the Korean
Peninsula. And that devastation could leave in its wake up to one
million dead and a humanitarian crisis unseen since the end of WWII
no matter that in the end the man-child and his regime would be taken
out.
So
is taking out North Korea worth it...is the what could be a
staggering loss of human life worth it...or is it better to let the
still at this time war of words run its course and then settle once
again into what seems up to this point and this president to be
diplomatic appeasement? To the first two scenarios I say 'yes' for
not only is the end result the proverbial 'better them than us' but
the time is so long passed for the United States to flex its military
muscle and put the world on course for true peace to take hold.
And
know that all our survival depends on it for if North Korea is not
stopped Iran will be the next one coming for us...and the naysayers,
kumbaya sorts, and those still whining that Donald Trump is president
be damned.
Scenario number two:
While the first
scenario seems on the surface to be the most likely...at least we are
being led to believe so...there is another possible scenario that
must be spoken about...a scenario that even our president might not
be telling us. First, it must be accepted as fact that discussions
are going on behind the scenes to end the standoff and tone down the rhetoric between President
Trump and Kim Jong-un... discussions that will never be 'tweeted'
about for obvious security reasons...discussions that are ongoing
between Joseph Yun...the United States Special Representative for North Korea Policy and concurrently the Deputy Assistant Secretary for Korea and Japan in the U.S. State Department, as well as being the man
who succeeding in getting out of North Korea, American student Otto
Warmbier and accompanied him home... and Pak Song Il, a senior North
Korean diplomat at the country's U.N. mission.
Second,
while we and the rest of the western world call Kim Jong-un a mad
man-child...an insane and brutal despot...the fact is that sometimes
madmen come close to ruling the world as was the case with both Adolph
Hitler and to a lesser degree Joseph Stalin. Brilliant military
tacticians via military advice taken, these men manipulated millions
to fight their battles without them actually having physical blood
running down their hands. And such could be the case with the
man-child who is manipulating us to gear up to do one thing when his
plan all along is to sneak up from behind and have us lose 'face' while
he...if not securing a military victory...does come out on top in the end.
Let
me explain.
Kim
Jong-un to most everyone's surprise, under a pseudonym as the son of
a Korean diplomat, was partly western educated in of all places
Germany, and he has a taste for all the 'niceties' we take for
granted. And he also is a man who has made himself over into a clone
of his much admired and somewhat westernized grandfather Kim
Il-sung...weight gain and all. And why... because during much of Kim
Il-sung's rule...especially in the 1960's through the 1970's... North
Korea's economy was actually bigger than that of South Korea's and
as such was taken somewhat seriously on the world stage. However, today, much
to the fault of his father, Kim Jong-il, under whose regime the
country suffered from years of famine mostly due to his own gross economic
mismanagement...the per capita income in the North is sadly less than
five percent of the South's.
Kim
Jong-un is smart enough to know that this one issue... a severely
stagnating if not on the verge of collapsing economy...an economy
showing no signs of recovery... actually puts both his political legitimacy
and legacy at stake. Correct that perception and the once thought of
as a mad man-child now becomes a political and economic entity whose
country can no longer be be ignored.
So
how would he pull that off while at the same time lauding a victory
of sorts over President Trump and manipulate our country at the same
time...he would do it through what in North Korea is known as a
policy of 'byungjin'...meaning 'parallel advance.' This simply means
that his seeming all-consuming pursuit of nuclear weapons would
continue while at the same time he silently pursues his true goal of
economic salvation. And here's the thing...using the quest for
nuclear weapons as a diversion of sorts allows him to secretly focus
on trying to set in motion much needed economic growth and honor his and his
country's beloved (for better or worse) grandfather in return.
Remember, in Oriental cultures, and even for despots, ancestral honoring is a must.
Now
how would Kim Jong-un accomplish this...by doing what no North
Korean leader before him could do...getting sanctions (or at least some key ones) that have
been in place since 1953 lifted in exchange for a (seeming) halt to
his nuclear ambitions...and I say 'seeming' as he would still pursue said weapons albeit quietly. Think of it this way...all Kim Jong-un's
testing of missiles, enriching of uranium, and threats to destroy any
in his way, are really just showy and empty bloviations because, for
the most part, all his missile tests have failed, never reaching an
intended target, and we have no definitive proof positive that North
Korea has secured the needed nuclear weapons miniaturization process...all we have is Kim Jong-un's word and the word of those loyal to him
as say so.
In fact, just two days ago, South Korea's Vice Defense Minister Suh Choo-suk said, "Both the United States and South Korea do not believe North Korea has completely gained re-entry technology in material engineering terms,"* and that they are at least one or two years away from doing so. And on this past 'Fox News Sunday,' C.I.A. Director Mike Pompeo said that while Kim Jong-un might conduct another missile test, talk of being on the brink of nuclear war was overstated, adding that, "I've seen no intelligence that would indicate that we're in that place today,"
Remember too, all this talk about miniaturization success
and other such related matters started just mere days after the latest sanctions went into effect...coincidence...I think not.
And
Kim Jong-un, no matter our name calling, is indeed smart
enough to know that he cannot win militarily against the might of the
U.S...he knows well that to fight us would be the end of his regime
with 'face'...if not his life...lost. But if he could force the
releasing of sanctions by bringing his and our country to the brink
of nuclear war...a war he never really intended to start...and then at the last
minute reaches an agreement of sorts before the first missile
is scheduled to be launched...an agreement that would include some sanctions being lifted... which was the man-child's true goal all along...then in his eyes he and North Korea become the
winners and President Trump and the U.S. the losers...'face' wise that is.
It
really is all about money as is usually the case for economics dictates politics and policy as politics is but a function of economics.
And
that makes sense what with China's official
state run newspaper, Xinhua,
stating that China would stay neutral if North Korea strikes first
and that they would not help militarily if they dared to do so.
And in a way it mirrors what Russia’s
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov called for as in “maximum
restraint” for
their two countries do not want to be part of not only a losing
outcome for North Korea...and doing so at great monetary cost to their said
countries...but they know that if Kim Jong-un does succeed in
getting sanctions lifted...even if it is just the latest ones...then
they could pressure President Trump into giving their respective
countries some sanctions relief as well...and do so in the name of
peace.
So
could all the saber rattling be nothing but a cleverly crafted monetary
manipulation by the one we can no longer just assume to be a mad
man-child with a ridiculous haircut...but a cleverly crafted
manipulation by one who actually does understand that in order to stay in power he needs to have a viable economy of sorts.
And so I have presented what I consider the two most likely scenarios we face, both of which need to play out to see which one comes to
fruition. But know that in either case the real loser is the North
Korean people themselves for they could see their country not only destroyed but destroyed with the possibility of one million dead in scenario number one; and they get to keep
the man-child as their 'supreme ruler' in scenario number two, knowing well that now that very 'supreme ruler' will be even more
egotistical, narcissistic, bombastic, and dangerous than ever before.
For more on North Korea and other scenarios, please read my RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS partner and friend Craig Andresen's article in the National Patriot by clicking here: http://www.thenationalpatriot.com/2017/08/north-koreas-fate-is-in-kim-jong-uns-hands/
___________________
* Re-entry technology allows a missile
warhead to survive the heat and pressure sustained when reentering the
Earth’s atmosphere, and is a key technological threshold required in order
to field a reliable ICBM force.
Copyright @ 2017 Diane Sori / The Patriot Factor / All Rights Reserved
****************************************************************
RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS...LIVE!
Tonight, Tuesday, August 15th from 7 to 9pm on American Political Radio, RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS Craig Andresen and Diane Sori discuss all things North Korea, and important news of the day.
Hope you can tune in at: http://listen.samcloud.com/w/73891/American-Political-Radio#history
As we tether on the brink of war with rogue nation North Korea, I offer two scenarios as to how this will go. Scenario one lays out the case for war, scenario two (included in this article) shows why war might not be the real objective. I leave it to you to decide which is more likely, but only time will tell how this all plays out. 
Closing in and aided
by not only an international community whose answer to war is singing
kumbaya songs of peace, but also by some in our own Congress...'deep
state' operatives all...who relish in calling out our president for
bravely drawing 'red lines' in the sand...'red lines' daring the
man-child to cross. And Congress' solution...slapping even more
useless sanctions on a country we have sanctioned since 1953...a
country sanctioned to the hilt and yet a country who has steadily
grown militarily stronger...aided by the misguided policies of appeasement by
our last three presidents.
Now "carefully
examining" plans to strike the U.S. territory of Guam in a
preemptive strike of his own because our current president dared to
upset the sensibilities of said man-child in charge, what is
forgotten in the rhetoric of words said is that last month the
man-child successfully test fired his country's second Hwasong 14
ICBM, with both political analysts and military leaders saying that
this particular rocket could potentially strike the very heart of our
own country.
But
what these critics and 'doom and gloom' for the most part liberal
propagandists do not get is that the only way to prevent a full-blown
war is to preemptively strike and take out the very one threatening
war not the one rightfully responding to those threats...and in this
case that one is the mad man-child Kim Jong-un. And when the strikes
begin...when the bombs start to fall...what will be seen is a country
amass in poor starving people probably welcoming said strikes knowing
they soon will not only be free but be fed. And the rumored
million-man army will high-tail it and run as fast and as far as they
can, just as many in Iraq's army did not too many years ago.
But
the brutality that some fear in preemptive strikes is seen as being
uncalled for at this time...but know that the longer we wait to
remove the threat the more time the threat has to fester and grow.
And sadly, into this mix now comes the kumbaya sorts' supposedly' on our side who simply do
not understand that sometimes war is not only a must but is actually
morally just.
And with the
man-child and his generals...most specifically Gen. Kim Rak
Gyom...now setting a date of mid-August either for strikes of four
intermediate-range ballistic missiles to come within 20 or so miles
of Guam or to be on Andersen Air Force Base itself..."to send
a serious warning signal to the U.S."...there always is the
possibility that this is but a diversionary war of words to keep us
focused on one place while North Korea actually sends a little 'gift'
to America's mainland or even to the state of Hawaii...a mere 20
minutes away for an ICBM launched from North Korea and a state now
rapidly developing what Hawaiian state officials call an
"informational campaign” aimed at instructing Hawaii's
residents and visitors what to do if Hawaii is indeed the target of a
said missile attack.
While
taking out North Korea's military airfields and missile launch sites
is the first must and could be accomplished in a relatively short
period of time by focused carpet-bombing targeted areas, not to be
forgotten is that the evacuating of tens of thousands of U.S.
civilians from South Korea has to immediately take place for the
man-child would most likely retaliate against South Korea first,
possibly even with the chemical weapons we know they
possess...possess to a tune of between 2,500 and 5,000 tons of said
weapons, including VX nerve agent. But
an evacuation of that scope could take weeks during which time we
would need to add to our current 30,000 troop presence in South Korea
in what's called "a reinforcement of shooters,”
which would include not only
U.S. man-power but Navy warships and submarines armed with cruise
missiles, plus Air Force bombers that could operate out of bases in
Japan or whatever bases are left on Guam. 
Sounds
like an easy win...right...wrong...as North Korea's million-man army
is well trained in the art of ground fighting and Seoul would be
target number one as they surround it while the rest of the South
comes under their attack. And that raises the question of would we be
able to "subdue”
the
man-child's military quickly enough to reduce civilian casualties in
South Korea especially in Seoul. And I am not so sure that's
possible as Seoul is only about 35 miles south of the demilitarized
zone...which would afford North Korean rockets and artillery the
chance to cause significant if not major damage to the areas
25 million people.
And
unknown to most is that the demilitarized zone is riddled with
underground military tunnels leading from the North to the South with
each being able to funnel 20,000 North Korean troops per hour into
the South.
So
is taking out North Korea worth it...is the what could be a
staggering loss of human life worth it...or is it better to let the
still at this time war of words run its course and then settle once
again into what seems up to this point and this president to be
diplomatic appeasement? To the first two scenarios I say 'yes' for
not only is the end result the proverbial 'better them than us' but
the time is so long passed for the United States to flex its military
muscle and put the world on course for true peace to take hold.
Let
me explain.
Kim
Jong-un is smart enough to know that this one issue... a severely
stagnating if not on the verge of collapsing economy...an economy
showing no signs of recovery... actually puts both his political legitimacy
and legacy at stake. Correct that perception and the once thought of
as a mad man-child now becomes a political and economic entity whose
country can no longer be be ignored.
Now
how would Kim Jong-un accomplish this...by doing what no North
Korean leader before him could do...getting sanctions (or at least some key ones) that have
been in place since 1953 lifted in exchange for a (seeming) halt to
his nuclear ambitions...and I say 'seeming' as he would still pursue said weapons albeit quietly. Think of it this way...all Kim Jong-un's
testing of missiles, enriching of uranium, and threats to destroy any
in his way, are really just showy and empty bloviations because, for
the most part, all his missile tests have failed, never reaching an
intended target, and we have no definitive proof positive that North
Korea has secured the needed nuclear weapons miniaturization process...all we have is Kim Jong-un's word and the word of those loyal to him
as say so. 
And
that makes sense what with China's official
state run newspaper, Xinhua,
stating that China would stay neutral if North Korea strikes first
and that they would not help militarily if they dared to do so.
And in a way it mirrors what Russia’s
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov called for as in “maximum
restraint” for
their two countries do not want to be part of not only a losing
outcome for North Korea...and doing so at great monetary cost to their said
countries...but they know that if Kim Jong-un does succeed in
getting sanctions lifted...even if it is just the latest ones...then
they could pressure President Trump into giving their respective
countries some sanctions relief as well...and do so in the name of
peace.
So
could all the saber rattling be nothing but a cleverly crafted monetary
manipulation by the one we can no longer just assume to be a mad
man-child with a ridiculous haircut...but a cleverly crafted
manipulation by one who actually does understand that in order to stay in power he needs to have a viable economy of sorts.