Thursday, October 24, 2024

Ex-MSNBC Analyst: Early Voting Pointing to a Trump Victory
 
I will still follow the cardinal rule concerning early vote totals: don’t read too much into them because they hardly indicate when the Election Day vote is tabulated. Still, a lot of people have their eyeballs glued to these numbers. There have been some interesting developments with these voting trends. The Reid Machine era never saw a red surge in early voting in Nevada. It could make for something interesting, but we have a long way to go. 
 
Still, ex-MSNBC analyst Mark Halperin thinks these numbers are strong enough to indicate who could win the 2024 election if they hold

If these numbers hold up in the states where we can understand even partially what the data is like, we'll know that Donald Trump is going to be president.” Early voting data, he says “is more important than the polls right now. It's more important than almost anything, because it's giving us insight into a variety of factors that are counting for a Republican over performance by various metrics in the early voting in the battleground states.” Read more here.

What the Hell Is Going on in Nevada?                                                                                                                      Matt Vespa / Townhall Tipsheet
 
Nevada’s early voting again showed another solid day for Republicans. It’s remarkable—what the hell is going on in this state? No, we’re not calling anything here. Still, two things that local political observers have been noting here with these totals is that a) this remains an event unseen in the Reid Machine era, and b) Republicans have learned that voting early isn’t so bad. Or, at the very least, they’ve focused on carving out time to get it done beforehand. 

Jon Ralston described yesterday’s totals, saying it’s “unheard of at this point in any other presidential cycle” regarding the red surge we’re seeing. It’s now reached a point where Democrats should be worried come Election Day, though Ralston also said that he feels that this race will be super tight, though not a shoo-in like in previous cycles. The GOP has done well to chip away at the firewalls in Democratic bastions (via Nevada Independent): 

“SOS is reporting today’s ballots, and I now feel like I am in the upside-down world. In past cycles, I would be telling you how the Dems were slowly…Read more and see Xs here.