Japan-North Korea: A
high-level Japanese delegation arrived in Pyongyang today for
discussions about the fate of Japanese nationals whom the North Korean
intelligence service kidnapped in the 1970s and 1980s. The Japanese
delegation is led by Junichi Ihara, who heads the Foreign Ministry's
Asian and Oceanian Affairs Bureau. He had talks with So Tae Ha, Vice
Minister of State Security.
So Tae Ha chairs the special
investigation committee set up by the North in July to reopen the
investigation into the fate of missing Japanese nationals, including
those abducted by North Korean agents.
Japanese officials want
an update on the special committee's investigation. They will explain
that Japan's government places its top priority on resolving the
abductions issue.
Background: North
Korea admitted abducting 13 Japanese nationals. In 2002, it returned
five of them to Japan, but the North said the others died. Japan doubts
they are dead, but wants an accounting of them and possibly others, whom
Japan claims were kidnapped by North Korean agents.
Comment: North
Korea needs Japan to ease, if not lift, its economic sanctions. It
needs access to Japan for trade and travel. Thus Japan has leverage and
North Korea has incentives to cooperate in resolving the abductee issue.
Afghanistan-Taliban: The
Taliban claimed victory for having forced the British forces to leave
Helmand Province. According to one commentator, "26 October was another
historic day for Afghanistan in which the British invaders officially
accepted the military defeat of their fourth invasion of
Afghanistan….The flight of the British invaders is another proud event
in the history of Afghanistan."
Comment: The
mention of Britain's fourth invasion of Afghanistan refers to the three
prior times that British combat forces fought in Afghanistan in the
past two centuries.
Various media reported significant Taliban
attacks in multiple provinces in the past three days. In some provinces,
the Taliban appear to be trying to make substantial gains before winter
sets in. In others, they are probing and testing the strength and
reaction time of Afghan forces.
Iraq-Turkey-Syria: The
BBC reported
that 150 Iraqi Kurdish peshmerga militiamen are enroute Syria to help
defend Kobani. They are reported to be traveling with "heavy weapons." A
convoy of up to 60 trucks, buses and other vehicles left Irbil today
for Kobani, Syria, via Turkey.
Comment: The
Syrian Kurds still control the border crossing from Kobani to Turkey,
which will enable the Iraqi Kurds to join the fight. The small size of
the Iraqi contingent suggests it is a test case.
If this effort has no
negative repercussions, Turkey might approve additional, limited support
initiatives. In any event, it is an important symbol of Kurdish
solidarity at a time when the Iraqi Kurds cannot afford to weaken their
forces fighting the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant.
Egypt-Gaza Strip: Egypt plans to create a 500m buffer zone along the 13km border with the Gaza Strip to block weapons smuggling.
Authorities
told residents living along the border to evacuate their homes so that
they can be demolished. Water-filled trenches or a canal will be dug to
prevent tunnel construction.
Comment: This
is a direct and immediate response to last week's attacks that killed
31 Egyptian soldiers. The government judges that the Hamas government in
Gaza aided the Islamic militants in Sinai in making the attack and is
determined to prevent a recurrence.
The measures President
al-Sisi has ordered are by far more effective and serious than any
previous efforts to control smuggling. The army casualties last week
appear to have pushed Egyptian tolerance to the limit. On its surface,
the bulldozing operation resembles Israeli tactics.
The new
initiative will have both security and economic impacts. It will disrupt
gunrunning and put many Palestinian tunnel diggers, the supply chain,
the supporting companies and arms smugglers out of business, assuming
Egypt is serious about implementation. The effects on employment might
be greater than the impact on security.
End of NightWatch