The One Metric That Has Decided Every Presidential Winner Since 1988...And Trump Has a Lock on It

Matt Vespa / Townhall Tipsheet

 

Again, David Chapman and PollWatch are two good accounts that have been tracking the polling this cycle and cutting through the nonsense from the liberal media. There’s been a lot of funny business with the polling folks. Firms conducting polls around the same time but getting different results. We have shy Trump voters. We youth vote interest tanking in this election cycle to levels not seen since 2000. Some polls have one million fewer young people voting this year. But somehow Biden is going to win by like 12 points. It’s unreliable to the nth degree. So, what Chapman did was compile a thread that cuts through a lot of the liberal media silliness out there. For starters, he nixes the idea that bad economies kill incumbents. Yes, that was the case for Bush 41, but historically the incumbent party is 12-11 when facing re-election during an economic downturn. 

Read entire article and see tweets here: https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2020/10/12/thread-by-every-historical-metric-and-trend-donald-trump-will-win-this-election-n2577926?utm_source=thdaily&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=nl&newsletterad=10/13/2020&bcid=3d4d66d62ccaf8073faf9aa664866a8a&recip=19180747