Op-ed:
Israel v.
Iran...Possibilities and Outcomes
By: Diane Sori and
Craig Andresen / Right Side Patriots / Right Side Patriots Radio
The article posted here is the authors opinion alone, and does not
necessarily represent the views of blogspot.com
or Google
“We can't let the world's most
dangerous regime have the world's most dangerous weapons” - Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin
Netanyahu's words...no ifs, ands, or buts.True words...rightful words...words as
powerful in their meaning today as were the words, “the shot
heard around the world” some
250 years ago. Fighting words...words not open for discussion,
interpretation nor deviation...a simple thirteen word statement that
in its strength should wake up the Iranian people to the fact that it
was their government's hate-fueled, religious fanaticism that led to
those words even having to be said. Thirteen words of fact, that at
the same time opens up the possibility for change...change not just
in the eliminating of Iran's nuclear ambitions, but change involving
the mindset of those being oppressed... oppressed to the point where a
6th century mentality now clashes with the want for 21st century
weapons of war...a dangerous combination whose outcome could well
affect us all.
And so with Netanyahu's statement being
unquestionable reality, and with the current ongoing situation seeing
the mullahs saying “no” to President Trump's
“unconditional ceasefire” demand...Iran has much “face
saving” to do after Israel caught them “off guard”
by inflicting major damage to their nuclear facilities, their
military, as well as Iran's mainline infrastructure...damage which
will undoubtedly take years, if not decades, for them to recover
from.
However, Israel's actions taken have
now afforded the long suffering Iranian people with a rare
opportunity for securing much needed “regime change.” How
so? Simply by Israel's having opened a pathway for the many
resistance groups operating separately inside Iran to unite together
as one, and actually succeed in overthrowing what is their country's
tyrannical and ever so repressive government... a government so mired
down in religious fanaticism that when coupled with its decaying 6th
century mindset being bolstered with their dream of securing 21st
century nuclear weapons...Iran has truly become a threat to us
all...a threat that must be eliminated at all costs.
“The
decision to act, to rise up this time, is the decision of the Iranian
people.”
- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
And so while most of the physical
aspects of fighting in this now officially declared war is best left to
Israel...with a modicum of help hopefully soon coming from the
U.S...what is true and lasting peace can only be secured by the
Iranian people themselves. Nation building is not an option nor in
this case is it a just cause, but exposing the
sins committed by Ayatollah Khamenei against his own people should
enter into the public discourse so that Iran's once glorious past can
freely become Iran's now hoped for future.
Convoluted
logic perhaps, yet it is a touch off point for those oppressed to
rally around for once the physical aspects of this war come to an
end, whomever or whatever form of government replaces the mullahs,
they will still be faced with political, social, and
economic crises that existed even before Iran's war with Israel.
“Regime change,”
while desperately needed, is one thing, but said change must come
with workable solutions or else it really serves no purpose, nor does
it contribute anything of substance to aid in regional stability,
regional security, or true freedom for the Iranian people.
And
said change, especially via a much needed “populist
uprising”...which
have led to massive protests in the past...does not necessarily mean
that a new Iranian government would follow in the footsteps of what
is deemed to be western style “democracy.”
In
fact, at this point in time “democracy”
as we know it does seem highly unlikely for the simple reason that
three of Iran's main ideological factions...as in the
reformists, moderates, and conservatives...do have differences and
have always had differences regarding major policy issues and
decisions, and most likely still do.
But probably the best thing, in our
opinion, is for any “regime change” that were to take
place to follow the secular ideology that was initiated under then
Reza Shah Pahlavi... as in to separate unyielding religious ideologies from
what should be a truly secular government. Remember, the Shah
replaced islamic laws (Sharia laws) with civil codes based upon
French law in order to “weaken the power”of Iran's
religious hierarchy; he also established secular schools and promoted
a modern educational system where women were included; he promoted
women's rights in general; as well as initiating land reforms in what
was called the “White Revolution.” Simply, Reza Shah Pahlavi wanted to “modernize” Iran and make it part of the then
20th century world...now Iran needs to become part of the 21st
century world which can only happen with “regime
change” initiated by the
Iranian people themselves.
However, for an actual “regime
change” to be successful in Iran especially in today's
heated political world, any new government coming into power must
initiate broad based social and economic changes not unlike those of
the aforementioned Reza Shah Pahlavi for without those changes...which must
include both full rights for women coupled with social reform...Iran
would still be mired down in the “what is and what was”
instead of what “should and could be.”
And “what is” under the
mullahs sees Iran's economy in a total state of disrepair due to not
only gross mismanagement, widespread corruption, and broad
international sanctions...especially the sanctions imposed by the
U.S...but Iran's high inflation rate of 43.4%...which is up from last
years 32.6%...has seen poverty increasing throughout the country,
with Iran now the recipient of the dubious honor of having one of the
world's highest inflation rates. How proud the mullahs must
be...sarcastically said of course.
So while “regime change” is
indeed most likely to happen once Iran's foolishly taken war with
Israel comes to an end with Iran issuing a formal “declaration
of surrender,” the first thing its new leaders need to do is
form an “interim government” until actual “free and
fair” elections are able to take place within a pre-set agreed
upon period of time. And when said elections are over and ballots are
being counted and tallied...and if said elections were indeed without
“interference”...it will be the Iranian people themselves who
have decided what type of government they want. And we must let the
chips fall as they may as to whether said new government is more
friendly to the U.S. and Israel or not...but hopefully it will be.
And with “regime change”
remaining on the table for Israel in regards to Iran, it is not
on the table in regards to U.S. actions taken nor is it under
consideration...at least not yet and might never be...but that’s
not to say that “regime change” is unwanted by the U.S.
Obviously, “regime change” is both desired and necessary
if the Iranian people are to secure the very freedom they so
desire, but it's also necessary for the stability of the region,
and for global stability as well.
Since 1979 Iran has caused trouble not only in the Middle East but
worldwide as well, and for the past four decades has been the world’s
leading state sponsor of terrorism. Iran has also been responsible
for the deaths of thousands, including American military personnel and
American citizens. And know that for the Iranian people...especially
for Iranian women...the mullahs reign of terror that is the hallmark
of Iran is no less deadly nor less oppressive. Simply, what is the
islamic regime as it stands now must go, but as we stated earlier
that is not up to us, it is up to the Iranian people to do what they know needs to be done.
Obviously, the
U.S. has been assisting Israel in a defensive posture, helping to
shoot down ballistic missiles being fired out of Iran and into
Israel. As that has occurred over the past ten days, Iran has
continued not only to issue threats towards the United States, but
they have also fired on or had their proxies fire on U.S. assets in
the region. Granted, threats are threats, and any rockets fired at
our bases and personnel in the region have been minimal, but such
actions cannot and should not be dismissed. After all, this comes
from the regime that has for four decades been chanting, “Death to
Israel, death to America.”
Bluntly put…they
mean it, and to ignore it now in the face of a desperate, crumbling
regime would be foolish, and could be fatal.
As to why we
should become more involved by engaging inside of Iran, it’s really
quite simple. While Israel has done remarkable work after showing
extraordinary patience over the decades, our engagement even on a
rather limited basis, is needed. It’s not that Israel can’t
handle this and see it through on its own…they certainly can, but
at what cost in blood and treasure? We fully believe that Israel has
not only the military resources, but also the intel resources to
eliminate the Iranian regime, and their continued threat to the
existence of Israel…but it would take much longer to reach that
conclusion without U.S. assistance than it would with it.
Israel, we
believe, could eliminate Iran’s last remaining nuclear facilities,
be they research, enrichment, or weapons facilities with a lengthy and very dangerous ground invasion of some sort. While it may not
look like what we would expect with tanks, artillery, and boots on the
ground, we know that Israel cannot destroy the Fordow
facility from the air. That is where U.S. engagement is needed.
From the air,
with B-2 stealth bombers dropping 30,000 pound bunker-busters on
Fordow, the U.S. would very quickly eliminate such a deeply buried
facility. Israel has cleared the path to Fordow, and potentially
other such sites, by wiping out Iranian air defense systems over the
early days of this war. Furthermore, Israel has decapitated the
Iranian upper echelon of Iranian military leadership, and put the
Iranian military into a tailspin. What little is left of Iranian air
defense would have a great deal of trouble trying to defend Fordow,
as the B-2 stealth bombers would be dropping their payloads from
nearly 50,000 feet, and the stealth nature of the aircraft themselves
would make them all but invisible to Iranian radar or targeting on a
good day.
Make no mistake, Iran is having very, very bad days at this point.
Obviously, there
are several scenarios such a U.S. action could take place, but let’s
be honest here as our ability to hit a target from 50,000 feet in the
dark is better than Iran’s ability to target a B-2 stealth bomber
by “line of sight” in broad daylight. We believe a U.S. bunker buster
mission is more likely to occur at night, with damage assessment
undertaken the next day via a combination of satellite recon and
Israeli intel from ground-based positions.
The B-2’s that
would carry out such an operation would most likely fly out of
Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri. It’s roughly a 12-13 hour
flight from there to Iran, and it would require several mid-air
refueling operations both on the way there and on the way back. It’s
not at all advantageous for our bombers to land for refueling on the
way to Iran, as each B-2 on such a mission would be carrying two 30,000 pound bunker-busters. Landing under that sort of weight would
be problematic. On the way back, landing anywhere in the Middle East
region would be a security risk, but a stop outside the region may
not be off the table.
While the
ordinance most likely to be used, the GBU-57A/B MOP (Massive Ordnance
Penetrator), is designed to both penetrate and crush heavily shielded
or deeply buried underground targets. The specs on the GBU-57A/B MOP
advertise its ability to reach out and touch…destroy…targets at
250 feet below ground level, almost exactly the depth of the Iranian
Fordow facility. We believe it would also be likely that at least one
B-2 or perhaps two would take part in such a mission. Note, too, that
the B-2’s used for the delivery of the GBU-57A/B MOP can each hold
two of them, and that a pair of said bombers could potentially drop
four such bunker-busters onto one target, or two each on two separate
targets.
That should be,
and most likely will be the extent of any U.S. involvement outside of
continuing to assist in defending Israel from Iranian missiles. We
say “should be” because it really all depends on the actions of the
rogue and crumbling Iranian regime. They’re in trouble, they know
it, they’re desperate, and they’re insane. While Iran is running
out of ballistic missiles, they do have enough left for an almost
unthinkable final act of terror. Don’t be surprised if the insanity
of the Iranian regime doesn’t in one last final act, decide on
their way down and out, to fit some of their remaining missiles
with dirty radioactive material, or God forbid if they do have a
functioning nuke as we have long believed they do in spite of
reports to the contrary…that they will use it against Israel.
If that happens all bets are off, and further engagement by the U.S. would be back on
the table.
As to whom would
benefit from the end of Iran’s terroristic regime and the
destruction of Iran’s dream of possessing nuclear weapons...with
which they would try to make good on their threats to wipe Israel
from the map and hold the world hostage...the simple answer is that the
whole world would benefit. Peace in the Middle East is a worthy goal,
but stability is a much more immediate and attainable goal. While
nature abhors a vacuum, political ideologies abhor a vacuum of power,
and it will be ultimately up to the people of Iran to see to it that
such a vacuum does not happen.
The benefits are
obvious for Israel and the whole of the Middle East, but most
interestingly the benefit of the fall of Iran’s regime of tyranny
might just be the rise of the Trump version of “peace through
strength.” By engaging in limited action in concert with one of our
greatest allies Israel, President Trump has the opportunity to put
the Trump doctrine front and center on the world stage. President
Trump has given Iran every opportunity to change direction on their own
accord, but when limited action becomes the last resort, a decisive
blow, quick, targeted, and coordinated to take down a clear and
present threat will be taken.
Israel is not
asking us to fight their war for them, and they are not interested in
a protracted war. They don’t want our boots on the ground in Iran,
and they do not intend to invade Iran. Iran is not just a threat to
Israel, that regime is a threat to the whole of the civilized world, and can no longer be allowed to hold sway in the region or hold the
rest of the world hostage. It must end now, and Iran's ability to wage
war must be destroyed.
If we sit it out
when a targeted mission will accelerate the end of the Iranian
regime, we can never be “the shining light on the hill” the rest of the
world can look to in dire times.
That is the
bottom line...case closed.
Copyright © 2025 Diane Sori and Craig Andresen / Right Side Patriots / Investigative Reports / All rights reserved.
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Craig Andresen and Diane Sori discuss their joint article 'Israel v. Iran...Possibilities and Outcomes.' Hope you can tune in to RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS on https://rspradio1.com Click 'LISTEN LIVE' starting at 6:50pm EST, show begins at 7pm EST. 
