Op-ed:
The U.S. v. China...An Unlikely Scenario
By: Diane Sori / The Patriot Factor / Right Side Patriots / Right
Side Patriots Radio
Nancy Pelosi went to Taiwan knowing well the political problems
her trip would cause what with China considering Taiwan but a
breakaway province that needs to be brought back into the Chinese
fold. And this is no matter that the Taiwanese people consider
themselves to be a self-ruled nation and not part of China proper,
whether Taiwan is officially recognized as an independent country or
not. And with Biden's recent reaffirming that the U.S. would defend
Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion, the stage was set for
China to raise the tensions up a notch by conducting
"military drills" that
surrounded the island in a show of strength that some consider to be
an actual prelude to war.
And musings of a possible war between China and Taiwan are being
spoken of in hushed tones on both sides of our political isle as
Biden tries to pretend being a commander-in-chief what with the
recent drone take down of al-Qaeda leader Ayman
al-Zawahiri, But pretending is usually a game played by those
with truths that must be kept hidden, and the truth where Biden and
his fellow Democrats are concerned is that the timing of
al-Zawahiri's demise did succeed, for a awhile at least, in taking
our minds off their deliberately destroying our economy. And yet
destroying our economy has quite literally become the Democrats
payback tool of choice to help them “save
face” come their November shellacking, with a possible war with
China being but an added distraction used to their advantage.
And while history has shown that war
itself, whether just or not, does spur on a nation's economy as war
is the epitome of big business...a manufacturing windfall and a jobs
creator on par with little else...history also shows that the best
time to initiate a war is when your opponents leadership shows
weakness across the board.
Enter Joe Biden's Afghanistan exit
fiasco which emboldened Vladimir Putin to invade Ukraine, and where
Biden's promises made to President Zelensky concerning U.S. equipment
helping to fight this unjust war remains undelivered to some degree;
Biden's now fingers crossed behind his back May promise made to
Taiwan that a Chinese invasion of their country “will not
happen” and “will not be attempted” saw
the caveat being if the world could convince Beijing of the
potential "long-term disapprobation" coupled
with long term ramifications should China dare to do so. And
both are the direct result of Biden's weakness having now helped to
set the stage for China's current muscle flexing as the once thought
to be “status quo”...as
in the unofficial U.S. and our allies agreed upon “balance
of forces” regarding
Taiwan...now shows outward signs of crumbling. After all, America
under Biden's stewardship can no longer be trusted to back up words
said nor promises made.
And while Biden's words
spoken are words that carry no true legal weight as Biden has now
twisted, for his own personal political gain, the meaning of
the 'Taiwan Relations Act of 1979,' the very act that
allows an American president to sell defensive weapons and arms to
Taiwan minus the promise of us sending boots on the ground to the
break away would be island nation. And this allows a simple non-binding
agreement on paper, coupled with ongoing bipartisan Congressional
support for increasing arms sales to Taiwan, to ramp up both the
tensions and the voices of war.
And with Taiwan's Intelligence Chief Chen Ming-tong
still seeing any conflict between the two countries not likely to
happen before 2024, I believe that to be but a hoped for fingers
crossed guess especially with Christina Chen, an assistant research
fellow at Taiwan's top military think tank, stating just the opposite as she sees the
“likelihood of a military conflict in the
Taiwan Strait in the near term getting high.” And
sadly, I must agree with Ms. Chen that the probably
of such an event occurring currently does outweigh the possibility of it
not occurring, but it's not for the reasons most think. How so? I say
a conflict between China and Taiwan will not only be over quite
quickly what with China holding the military trump card, but with the
fact that Biden will in the end give but lip service to Taiwan in the
same vein he has given it to Ukraine...promises made not
kept... promises that should never have been made in the first place.
Simply and to the point, Joe Biden will
continue to use Taiwan as but a mere diversion with Taiwan ultimately
becoming the much needed sacrificial lamb that helps take the
collective mind of America off our failing economy as well as our
falling presence on the world stage. But even worse, I think, is that
Biden will play a dangerous game by throwing the proverbial ball in
China's court to see just how far they will go regarding Taiwan...as
in will there be a complete military absorption of Taiwan back into
the Chinese fold or will the ultimate takeover be political in name
only not unlike that of Hong Kong?
While neither scenario is good for
Taiwan the latter might make more sense for China as it would allow
much needed trade between our two nations to continue on while still
allowing China their coveted Taiwan prize. And not to be forgotten,
whether we like it or not, is the fact that China v. Taiwan is in
reality China's own civil war that they alone must fight for unlike
Ukraine, which is a sovereign nation, Taiwan unfortunately is not.
However, for China to go into Taiwan
militarily...to physically destroy the break away island province
like Putin has tried to do to Ukraine...I believe is not an option
China really wants to do no matter its decades long military threats,
for to do so would surely severe what economic ties we have left with
China, which could include our cutting off of all modes of trade.
Remember, China's economy is basically financed by trade with the
U.S...we are it's biggest customer if you will...something Xi knows
well. And for Xi to lose American dollars would send China's economy
into a tailspin from which they might never recover, never mind that
cheaply made Chinese goods already over flood the U.S. market. Bite
the hand that feeds your nations coffers might just be incentive
enough to keep China's takeover of Taiwan more like the
aforementioned political takeover of Hong Kong, which would still
garner China a publicity victory of sorts and would leave Joe Biden
with egg on his face.
Translation: a U.S. war with
China could well morph into a war with both Russia and North Korea as
well, something that would not end well for all parties involved. And
that's never mind the possible nuclear option, which in today's
heated political climate remains always on the table, nor is the fact
that even if a stalemate of sorts were to be reached between us and
China over Taiwan we could find ourselves becoming Taiwan's permanent
and very expensive sole means of defense, and we all know how well
that has worked out in the past...can you say Iraq and Afghanistan.
Copyright
© 2022 / Diane Sori / The Patriot Factor / All rights reserved.
************************************************************************************* For more political commentary please visit my RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS partner Craig Andresen's blog The National Patriot to read his latest article, The FBI and DOJ – A Crisis of Credibility.
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