By: Guy Ritchter / NEWSMAX
The poll of likely Republican primary voters:
• Donald Trump: 41 percent
• Ted Cruz: 38 percent
• John Kasich: 17 percent
The poll was conducted March 20-22 and talked to 388 Republican primary voters.
But the poll showed Kasich, whose only hope at getting the nomination
would be in a contested convention, has the best chance of beating
expected Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical
head-to-head matchup. Trump would lose to Clinton if the election will
held today, according to the poll.
• Kasich 51 pecent/Clinton 40 percent
• Cruz 47 percent/Clinton 44 percent
• Trump 38 percent/Clinton 49 percent
• Donald Trump: 41 percent
• Ted Cruz: 38 percent
• John Kasich: 17 percent
The poll was conducted March 20-22 and talked to 388 Republican primary voters.
• Kasich 51 pecent/Clinton 40 percent
• Cruz 47 percent/Clinton 44 percent
• Trump 38 percent/Clinton 49 percent
That portion of the poll, also taken March 20-22, talked to 1,016
registered voters and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3 percent.
Cruz has been tied or outperforming Clinton in head-to-head matchups in several recent polls while the same polls show Trump would lose to her.
Quinnipiac, CBS/New York Times, CNN/ORC, and NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls conducted in March all show a statistical or near-statistical tie. Only a Bloomberg poll conducted in recent days showed Clinton ahead nine points, which is above the 3.4 percent margin of error.
Cruz has consistently risen in head-to-heads with Clinton since he trailed her by double digits in July.
Meanwhile, all head-to-heads between Trump and Clinton taken during at least part of March show Trump trailing Clinton between five and 18 points, and all are outside the margin of error.
The most recent poll showing Trump ahead is a USA Today/Suffolk University poll from late February where he was ahead by 2 points, inside the poll's 3-point margin of error.
The most recent poll showing Trump beating Clinton outside the margin of error is a November Fox News poll where he bested her by 5 points. The margin of error was 4 points.
It is that poll that Trump still cites when his trailing Clinton in head-to-head polls is mentioned.
Kasich has led Clinton by 3 to 11 points since mid-February, but he already has been mathematically eliminated from winning the nomination on a first convention ballot. He is staying in the race in an apparent bid to take the nomination in a contested convention.
Cruz has been tied or outperforming Clinton in head-to-head matchups in several recent polls while the same polls show Trump would lose to her.
Quinnipiac, CBS/New York Times, CNN/ORC, and NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls conducted in March all show a statistical or near-statistical tie. Only a Bloomberg poll conducted in recent days showed Clinton ahead nine points, which is above the 3.4 percent margin of error.
Meanwhile, all head-to-heads between Trump and Clinton taken during at least part of March show Trump trailing Clinton between five and 18 points, and all are outside the margin of error.
The most recent poll showing Trump ahead is a USA Today/Suffolk University poll from late February where he was ahead by 2 points, inside the poll's 3-point margin of error.
The most recent poll showing Trump beating Clinton outside the margin of error is a November Fox News poll where he bested her by 5 points. The margin of error was 4 points.
Kasich has led Clinton by 3 to 11 points since mid-February, but he already has been mathematically eliminated from winning the nomination on a first convention ballot. He is staying in the race in an apparent bid to take the nomination in a contested convention.
Polls are meaningless at this point. It is how many states they win in the primary. Trump is going to wipe out Cruz in the Northeast (NY, NJ and Conn). Trump may fall short of the 1237 but it will be very, very close and it would be suicide to choose someone other than Trump at the Convention.
ReplyDeleteKey factor, lets say Cruz is chosen as the Republican nominee. Be truthful, now Diane, don't you think that the Media (not necessarily the Democrats) will go full throttle after Ted Cruz on his "NBC" status. Hell, if they did deep enough they may also find that his Mommy and Daddy never submitted a Consular Report of Birth which would really cause some problems for the Teddy Bear.